Tag Archive for Ottawa

Ottawa housing market – a big puzzle or a solved mystery?

These days there are too many people saying: “Canadian real estate is in a great shape”. “We are immune from a US style collapse”. ”Housing is on recovery mode and prices are going up again…” Too many newspapers, blog and commentaries are comparing the US real estate problems and the “stable Canadian market” with overly optimistic conclusions. In a situation like that it is difficult to talk about potential dangers and housing market bust waiting behind the corner. Well, Garth Turner seems to be a lonely voice, talking about real estate bubble, but few pays much attention. A year ago Alexandre Pestov published a very well researched paper on the topic with the same conclusion – real estate markets are due for correction. To my knowledge his research also did not get enough traction.

Just look at these numbers:

The average home price in Ottawa has increased 5 (five) times since 1981 while the population has not even doubled during that period. How do you explain that?